Canadian business & innovation
AFV News

Clarity on the economy.
Context for what comes next.

Canada / Analysis · Canada

Fewer people employed can coexist with a steady unemployment rate

Canada’s August labour report illustrates why employment totals and unemployment rates need to be read together. An example shows how the denominator changes the result.

Canada’s employment declined by 42,000 in August while the unemployment rate stayed at 6.4%, according to Statistics Canada’s September 4 Labour Force Survey release. The participation rate also fell, by 0.1 percentage points to 65.0%. Those results describe different measures of the labour market. Statistics Canada

Employment and unemployment measure different things

Employment is a count of people with work. The unemployment rate expresses unemployed people as a share of the labour force, which comprises employed and unemployed people. A percentage can remain unchanged when both its numerator and denominator change.

A worked example: the same rate, fewer jobs

Consider an invented labour force of 1,000 people. If 940 are employed and 60 are unemployed, the unemployment rate is 60 divided by 1,000, or 6%.

In a second snapshot, suppose 893 people are employed and 57 are unemployed. The labour force totals 950. The unemployment rate is 57 divided by 950, also 6%, even though 47 fewer people are employed.

These are hypothetical figures chosen to illustrate the ratio. They are not a reconstruction of Canada’s August results, and they do not identify why any particular person stopped working or left the labour force.

The example also shows why a stable unemployment rate cannot, by itself, establish that employment was stable. It answers a question about a share, not a question about the number working.

What the figures mean for recruitment

For a company preparing a hiring plan, each measure supplies a different piece of context. Employment indicates the number working; participation helps describe how much of the relevant population is in the labour force. Neither national figure directly measures the pool of qualified applicants for a particular role in a particular town.

A planning note should therefore identify its geography, population and comparison period before applying a national headline to recruitment. Its own vacancy records can answer a narrower question: whether the number of suitable applications per opening changed during a specified period. That observation would still need to account for changes in the role, pay offered or advertising.

There is also a timing boundary. These figures concern August and were released on September 4. They should not be presented as a reading of employment conditions on September 19 merely because a briefing is being written then.

Reading the count and the rate together preserves the distinction between a smaller employed population and an unchanged unemployment percentage.

Questions about this article?

Read our editorial standards or send a correction to the editorial desk.